Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#261
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#247
Pace70.3#135
Improvement-2.4#283

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#281
First Shot-3.6#281
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#194
Layup/Dunks+1.0#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#31
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.0#349
Freethrows+0.2#169
Improvement+3.6#37

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#228
First Shot-1.7#223
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#221
Layups/Dunks+0.3#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#223
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#149
Freethrows-2.1#309
Improvement-5.9#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 1.01.0 - 4.0
Quad 20.0 - 9.01.0 - 13.0
Quad 30.0 - 4.01.0 - 17.0
Quad 49.0 - 4.010.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 81-56 95%     1 - 0 +0.8 -6.6 +5.5
  Nov 09, 2018 267   James Madison L 72-73 62%     1 - 1 -10.0 -17.2 +7.3
  Nov 11, 2018 224   Lamar W 84-78 OT 52%     2 - 1 -0.3 -4.1 +3.0
  Nov 16, 2018 100   @ Georgia Tech L 54-79 11%     2 - 2 -17.4 -16.1 +0.6
  Nov 19, 2018 168   UT Rio Grande Valley W 69-64 41%     3 - 2 +1.6 -8.2 +9.4
  Nov 21, 2018 234   Prairie View W 76-64 55%     4 - 2 +5.0 -8.1 +11.8
  Nov 24, 2018 236   High Point L 52-55 55%     4 - 3 -10.1 -12.8 +2.1
  Nov 27, 2018 263   @ UNC Wilmington L 86-95 40%     4 - 4 -12.2 -2.5 -8.7
  Nov 30, 2018 201   Appalachian St. W 83-81 48%     5 - 4 -3.3 +1.7 -5.0
  Dec 02, 2018 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-47 94%     6 - 4 -0.2 -5.4 +7.3
  Dec 18, 2018 287   @ Charlotte L 49-55 44%     6 - 5 -10.3 -19.4 +8.4
  Dec 28, 2018 315   N.C. A&T W 77-57 73%     7 - 5 +7.8 +4.0 +5.0
  Jan 02, 2019 110   @ SMU L 54-82 12%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -21.0 -19.9 -0.5
  Jan 05, 2019 32   Cincinnati W 73-71 9%     8 - 6 1 - 1 +11.1 +7.3 +3.8
  Jan 10, 2019 58   @ Memphis L 72-78 7%     8 - 7 1 - 2 +5.1 +1.2 +4.3
  Jan 13, 2019 48   @ Central Florida L 65-76 5%     8 - 8 1 - 3 +2.2 -3.0 +5.6
  Jan 16, 2019 70   Temple L 74-85 17%     8 - 9 1 - 4 -6.6 -0.8 -5.2
  Jan 23, 2019 15   @ Houston L 50-94 2%     8 - 10 1 - 5 -25.4 -11.8 -14.4
  Jan 26, 2019 120   South Florida L 57-77 26%     8 - 11 1 - 6 -19.2 -8.5 -12.1
  Jan 31, 2019 282   Tulane W 66-65 65%     9 - 11 2 - 6 -8.7 -7.9 -0.7
  Feb 03, 2019 107   @ Connecticut L 52-76 11%     9 - 12 2 - 7 -16.7 -13.0 -6.0
  Feb 06, 2019 88   Wichita St. L 49-65 20%     9 - 13 2 - 8 -13.0 -13.1 -2.6
  Feb 10, 2019 120   @ South Florida L 68-72 OT 13%     9 - 14 2 - 9 +2.4 +3.3 -1.1
  Feb 13, 2019 58   Memphis L 69-79 15%     9 - 15 2 - 10 -4.5 -1.0 -3.4
  Feb 17, 2019 121   Tulsa L 73-77 OT 26%     9 - 16 2 - 11 -3.2 -6.6 +3.8
  Feb 23, 2019 282   @ Tulane W 85-81 43%     10 - 16 3 - 11 -0.1 +5.0 -5.4
  Feb 27, 2019 15   Houston L 65-99 5%     10 - 17 3 - 12 -21.0 -2.0 -18.2
  Mar 03, 2019 121   @ Tulsa L 78-91 13%     10 - 18 3 - 13 -6.6 +13.1 -20.3
  Mar 05, 2019 88   @ Wichita St. L 55-72 10%     10 - 19 3 - 14 -8.5 -8.9 -0.7
  Mar 10, 2019 107   Connecticut L 73-82 23%     10 - 20 3 - 15 -7.2 +3.8 -11.4
  Mar 14, 2019 88   Wichita St. L 57-73 14%     10 - 21 -10.3 -8.5 -2.7
Projected Record 10.0 - 21.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%